The Sky is Not Falling

Democrats will soon officially control the House with a very slim margin, control the Senate with Kamala Harris as the tie-breaker to any 50 Republican / 50 Democrat split vote, and assume the presidency with corrupt and sleepy Joe Biden.

It’s all over, right?

A conservative Supreme Court will be rendered moot once Democrats pack the court. Statehood for DC will ensure there’s never a Republican controlled Senate ever again. Socialist policies will be implemented as we slowly begin moving to a fate similar to Venezuela. Race based quotas will be the new normal and death panels will decide who lives or dies with our new national health care program once private health insurance is done away with. The Electoral College will finally be abolished with a pure, pristine, and direct democracy that will allow a few key populated cities to decide the presidency. Universal basic income will pass – bankrupting the country within a few years of being passed.

That’s all happening, right?

Pause for a second. Take a deep breath. It’s easy to lose focus on the big picture here when these ideas are pushed by both sides of the political divide. The left uses them to keep their base excited and motivated. - “Vote Democrat and we’ll pack the court!” The right uses it for the same reason - “Vote Republican or Democrats will destroy the country!” Inflammatory statements get you followers on Twitter. They get clicks on websites. They get views on YouTube.

The truth though is that most of the people pushing these ideas know there’s no chance that they could be passed. This tweet couldn’t be more perfect of an example – here are two grifters on both sides of the political spectrum fanning the flames.

Let’s start with the idea of DC statehood.

Article 1, Section 8 of the Constitution states Congress should be in charge of the seat of government which will be a “District”. There have been clever ideas to get around this such as shrinking the district and then creating a state out of what’s left. New states only need Congress to vote on it and for the President to sign the bill. However, the 23rd amendment was passed in 1961 and extended the right to vote in presidential elections to citizens living in the district and defined the district as a permanent constitutional entity of its own.

The Department of Justice under administrations of both parties has repeatedly signaled that any statehood would require repealing the 23rd amendment. An amendment to the Constitution can be repealed, but only by the ratification of another amendment. This requires either a Constitutional Convention called by two-thirds of the state legislatures or two-thirds of both houses of Congress followed by ratification of three-fourths of the states. There are 30 states with bicameral Republican legislatures. Put simply – barring some major shifts in the states where Democrats start taking over state legislatures DC statehood is simply not going to happen. Abolishing the Electoral College would also require amending the Constitution and is also not going to happen for the same reasons.

How about packing the courts?

There’s no constitutional impediment here. Congress set the Supreme Court to be nine justices in 1869, but if a president and Congress agree, they could change the law to expand the court or shrink it. Although Democrats do indeed control all the necessary levers to make this happen there’s just no way they’d have the political will to do it. They have the smallest majority in the House since the 1940’s and moderate Democrats are not going to dive off the deep end with their progressive left when they know they’d get wiped out next election cycle. In the Senate, there’s simply no way moderate Democrat Senators like Manchin or Sinema are going to join that cause. Biden has signaled that he doesn’t favor changing the makeup of the court. Like DC statehood, it’s a pipe dream.

What about defunding the police?

Moderate Democrats have repeatedly said that saying defund the police was absolutely one of the reasons the House now has such a close margin now with not one single toss up House election going to a Democrat. Manchin humorously tweeted “Defund the police? Defund, my butt.” (Let’s face it – this would have been really funny had he forgot that comma.) Yes, they control the executive and legislature but only by the skin of their teeth. After redistricting this year, Republicans should once again take the House in 2022. Newly elected Senators Raphael Warnock and Mark Kelly will face voters again in 2022. If they swerve too far out of their lanes by embracing progressive policies that turns off normal people there’s a good chance they lose re-election.

As for the presidency there’s almost zero chance that Biden will run again in 2024 at 82 years old and I wouldn’t be surprised if there’s a strong challenge from other Democrats against Kamala Harris should she decide to run. Biden and Harris are only taking their respective offices as a negative vote to Trump and not because they resonated with voters. Biden did the worst of all the candidates in the debates and Harris had to drop out before primary voting even began. Guys – these aren’t the best and brightest the Democrats have to offer. A Noem or perhaps DeSantis candidacy could have some real traction to it in 2024.

As another bulwark against any Democrat shenanigans let’s not forget that Trump appointed three SCTOUS judges that finally established an actual solid conservative block. Roberts is free to join with the liberal justices anytime he wants now without affecting the outcome. Trump also appointed 215 judges throughout the court system. The judicial is going to be much less hostile to conservatives going forward especially in the 9th circuit which has been extremely unfriendly to conservative thought.

By all measures, the 2020 election was a disappointment. Democrats keep the House and take the Senate and Presidency - but it’s certainly not the end of the world, either. Republicans gained a governorship and now control thirty state legislatures. Let’s reset and find more great populist candidates to run in 2022 and 2024 and move on. In the big picture, it’s a temporary setback and in reality – the Democrats simply have no mandate to enact the crazy ideas their far left wants to enact.